Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1476SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 1476 · SMF → SEA
departs 12:57 PM PT · arrives 2:56 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
31%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.