Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1526
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1526 · SEA → ABQ
departs 7:55 PM PT · arrives 11:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to ABQ?
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On time or early
74%
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15–30 min late
10%
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30 min–1 hour late
9%
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1–2 hours late
4%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.