Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1529SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 1529 · ABQ → SEA
departs 6:00 AM MT · arrives 8:10 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
9%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.