Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 213 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AS 213 · LIH → SEA

departs 10:28 PM HT · arrives 7:12 AM PT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ 10pm departures from LIH are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.69 in

SEA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 213 · LIH → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?