tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 396 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 396 · SAN → MCO

departs 10:03 AM PT · arrives 6:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±1 pts +11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.