Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 507SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 507 · SEA → MKE
departs 8:06 AM PT · arrives 2:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±0 pts−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.