Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 58 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AS 58 · SCC → ANC

departs 2:14 PM AKT · arrives 4:00 PM AKT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at SCC that day

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ANC that day

↑ Other factors

↓ ANC usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SCC (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 58 · SCC → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?