Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 621SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday
AS 621 · SMF → PDX
departs 11:46 AM PT · arrives 1:18 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±0 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.