Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 62 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AS 62 · SIT → KTN

departs 11:39 AM AKDT · arrives 12:33 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at KTN more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to KTN?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ SIT is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SIT

↓ 11am departures from SIT are usually not late

↓ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SIT (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

KTN (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 62 · SIT → KTN

Odds over time

How late will it get to KTN?