Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 648
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 648 · SEA → TUS
departs 10:19 AM PT · arrives 1:31 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to TUS?
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On time or early
75%
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15–30 min late
11%
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30 min–1 hour late
11%
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1–2 hours late
2%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.