Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 65 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AS 65 · PSG → JNU

departs 11:27 AM AKDT · arrives 12:11 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JNU?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at PSG that day

↑ Other factors

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at JNU that day

↓ 11am departures from PSG are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into JNU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PSG (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.10 in

JNU (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 65 · PSG → JNU

Odds over time

How late will it get to JNU?