Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 67 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AS 67 · SEA → KTN

departs 3:37 PM PT · arrives 4:43 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at KTN more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to KTN?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at KTN

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SEA that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

KTN (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 67 · SEA → KTN

Odds over time

How late will it get to KTN?