Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 825 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AS 825 · LAX → KOA

departs 9:00 AM PT · arrives 11:36 AM HT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to KOA?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ 9am departures from LAX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at KOA

↓ Arrivals into KOA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

KOA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 825 · LAX → KOA

Odds over time

How late will it get to KOA?