Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1174
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1174 · BNA → JFK
departs 6:23 PM CT · arrives 9:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 60%
Mon 10/5 39%
Tue 10/6 28%
Wed 10/7 31%
Thu 10/8 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip 0.34 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.