Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1174
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1174 · BNA → JFK
departs 6:23 PM CT · arrives 9:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 58%
Mon 10/5 39%
Tue 10/6 28%
Wed 10/7 31%
Thu 10/8 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
49%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
39%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.69 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.