Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1381
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
B6 1381 · JFK → IAH
departs 8:15 AM ET · arrives 11:00 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 44%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 20%
Thu 10/8 22%
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.