Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1516
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1516 · JFK → SYR
departs 10:29 PM ET · arrives 12:03 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±6 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at SYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SYR?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
SYR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
SYR (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.