Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1529
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1529 · JFK → RSW
departs 8:09 AM ET · arrives 11:16 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
RSW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.