Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1539
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1539 · MVY → JFK
departs 5:26 PM ET · arrives 6:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 40%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 34%
Thu 10/8 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MVY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
MVY is quiet at that time
↓
MVY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MVY (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.