Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1567
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
B6 1567 · HPN → PBI
departs 6:35 PM ET · arrives 9:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 33%
Mon 10/5 19%
Fri 10/9 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
↓
HPN is quiet at that time
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at HPN that day
Weather at each end
HPN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.25 mi
Precip none
PBI (destination)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 3,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.