Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1574
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1574 · LAX → EWR
departs 8:33 PM PT · arrives 5:00 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.1d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +30 pts in 24h
+30 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are usually not late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 7,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.