Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1761
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
B6 1761 · LGA → PBI
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 9:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 60%
Mon 10/5 46%
Fri 10/9 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
62%
chance · ±2 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
62%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 64% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 65% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
20%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
6pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
LGA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
PBI (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.