Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1874
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1874 · LAX → EWR
departs 10:55 AM PT · arrives 7:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 51%
Mon 10/5 27%
Thu 10/8 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.