Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1901
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1901 · BUF → JFK
departs 9:15 AM ET · arrives 10:42 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at BUF that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into JFK at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BUF (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.95 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.