Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 195
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 195 · HPN → MCO
departs 8:30 PM ET · arrives 11:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±5 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
HPN is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
HPN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.