Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2115 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

B6 2115 · BOS → BUF

departs 8:02 AM ET · arrives 9:35 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 57h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BUF that day

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BUF at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.70 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2115 · BOS → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?