Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2984
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 2984 · MCO → JFK
departs 4:11 PM ET · arrives 6:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 50%
Mon 10/5 37%
Tue 10/6 27%
Wed 10/7 35%
Thu 10/8 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.