Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 381 LANDED 10:56 PM ET, ~2 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

B6 381 · BOS → RIC

took off 9:37 PM ET · landed 10:56 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at BOS that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 381 · BOS → RIC

Odds over time