Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 884
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 884 · MCO → JFK
departs 8:05 PM ET · arrives 11:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 49%
Sun 10/4 63%
Mon 10/5 36%
Tue 10/6 29%
Thu 10/8 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.