Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1010 LANDED 10:58 PM CT, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

DL 1010 · LGA → BNA

took off 10:00 PM ET · landed 10:58 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at LGA that day

↑ 9pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ LGA is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

BNA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1010 · LGA → BNA

Odds over time