Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1075
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
DL 1075 · RDU → BOS
departs 4:05 PM ET · arrives 6:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 46%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 43%
Thu 10/8 29%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 28 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.