Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1109 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

DL 1109 · ABQ → ATL

departs 4:36 PM MT · arrives 9:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from ABQ are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

↓ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1109 · ABQ → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?