Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1130
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
DL 1130 · ATL → MCI
departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 8:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 10/2
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,280 ft Visibility 4.5 mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.