Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1133
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1133 · DTW → MCO
departs 4:48 PM ET · arrives 7:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 2.88 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.