Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1149
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1149 · MEM → ATL
departs 9:27 AM CT · arrives 11:46 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 667 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MEM that day
↑
Other factors
↓
MEM usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.28 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.