Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1216
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1216 · IAH → LAX
departs 7:10 AM CT · arrives 8:30 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.41 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.