Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1222 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 1222 · ATL → SAT

departs 8:52 PM ET · arrives 10:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 2.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ 8pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SAT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1222 · ATL → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?