Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1225
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1225 · DTW → RSW
departs 2:28 PM ET · arrives 5:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.64286 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.79 in
RSW (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.