Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1248
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
DL 1248 · ATL → MDT
departs 9:05 AM ET · arrives 10:56 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/2
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MDT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDT?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Arrivals into MDT at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
MDT (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.