Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1279
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1279 · TPA → RDU
departs 9:11 AM ET · arrives 11:04 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 4%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 4%
Thu 10/8 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
↓
Arrivals into RDU at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.