Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1412
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1412 · SEA → SFO
departs 9:45 AM PT · arrives 12:04 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 26%
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.