Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1414
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1414 · JFK → FLL
departs 7:58 PM ET · arrives 11:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 19%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+28 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.