Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1415
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1415 · RIC → ATL
departs 8:00 AM ET · arrives 9:42 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
RIC is prone to delays
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
RIC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.