Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1419
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1419 · JFK → FLL
departs 3:30 PM ET · arrives 6:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 20%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↑
3pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.