Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1426
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1426 · ATL → RIC
departs 8:12 PM ET · arrives 9:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
RIC (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.