Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1470
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1470 · ATL → MCI
departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 6:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 19%
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.