Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1470
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1470 · ATL → MCI
departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 6:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.