Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1480
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1480 · JFK → ATL
departs 3:41 PM ET · arrives 6:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±0 pts
+24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
3pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.