Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1485
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1485 · SFO → SLC
departs 1:20 PM PT · arrives 4:14 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.