Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1525
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1525 · TPA → ATL
departs 3:18 PM ET · arrives 4:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 45%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.