Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1529
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1529 · DTW → IAH
departs 4:51 PM ET · arrives 6:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 21%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.79 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.