Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1543
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1543 · DTW → DFW
departs 3:50 PM ET · arrives 5:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 2.88 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.